How Bad (and Good) Ideas Nest Together
Something that has always fascinated me about people and political philosophies is how a number of seemingly disparate beliefs or stances on particular issues tend to arrange themselves in particular patterns. For example, beliefs on such issues as property rights, progressive taxation, welfare, and social security tend to align themselves in two large camps of thought rather than enumerating the possible stances on each of the individual issues. This may not be altogether surprising for this example, given that all of the four issues are relatively closely related (i.e. the individual's relation to the state in terms of property, ownership, and wealth). The more intriguing thing to me has always been how more distantly related (or seemingly unrelated) political issues such as abortion, gun control, national defense, education, affirmative action, and civil rights tend to exhibit similar statistically unlikely distributions of thought. For example, there are far fewer people who believe that government should not be involved in education (-education), but should be involved in affirmative action (+affirmative action) than either of the of the (+education, +affirmative action) or (-education, -affirmative action) possibilities. When we wander wholly out of political issues into scientific and philosophical (and by extension, moral) issues, what is more surprising is that even in these far flung areas of thought, striking patterns emerge.
This strange phenomenon sends the scientist in me searching for the cause of this unlikelyhood. Contemplating the issue, I finally posed the question as follows:
What makes a particular set of opinions on a large number of issues significantly more common than most of the other possible sets of opinions?
There are a number of possible answers to this question that deserve some exploration. In the end, I believe the complexities of human nature will force us to concede that there probably is not a single answer to this question that is best; rather, a mix of a number of factors are probably at work that have various impacts upon different individuals and different cultures. Let's explore a few of these.
1. Religion.
First, religion has a tremendous effect on a person's psychological development. The starting point for religion, in my opinion, isn't an open question to be considered throughout one's life--but a flat statement about the universe, usually starting with "God exists" and proceeding to "God is like this" and therefore "The world is like this" and proceeding to "God wants you to behave like this or do this" and offering a number of sticks and carrots in development of a large code of ethics. It is often illustrated through themes woven into a historical record and the doings and failings of historical figures. Often a religion contains a number of hypothetical situations--parables--intended to illustrate principles for living.
In a way, religion, among other things, is a ready-made set of beliefs about the world and oneself that are to be accepted. Though the starting point is a statement about the universe, man, and God(s) if any, religions are not averse to giving rise to many questions both internally and in their application to the world we live in and an individual's path through life. The answers to these questions therefore give rise to the various factions of religions, and as these questions are discovered, religions become more and more fractured in a type of divergent evolution.
The interesting aspect to religion in our exploration of the origins of commonly held belief systems is that religion therefore serves as a blueprint for belief, and its implications in the development of belief systems to address such issues as politics and philosophy therefore lead to wide uniformities. Thus, one possible explanation for the remarkable uniformity of different camps of belief is the common blueprints of different religions.
Point one can be summarized as "some belief combinations arise from a common belief blueprint".
2. Compatibility of Ideas.
A statistical approach to investigating belief systems that assumes that all beliefs are interchangeable is absurd. This is because we must admit that certain combinations of beliefs are more compatible (for example the education/affirmative action dichotomy mentioned in the introduction) than others. In the same way that the nature of atoms lends them to bonding in certain compatible configurations (e.g. H20) and the incompatible configurations simply do not exist, the "compatible" combinations of beliefs then appear more frequently, leading to the phenomenon that some combinations of belief are extremely popular. Also, since people are not entirely logical, the "incompatible" combinations still do exist in various places, but with far less appeal.
What makes the beliefs "incompatible"? Perhaps their very nature, like atoms; they might simply not fit. Thus, point two can be summarized as "some belief combinations are more compatible by their nature".
3. Hierarchy of Implication and Influence.
In the previous point, we explored whether beliefs can be simply incompatible by their nature. Perhaps also, there is another mechanism by which beliefs can be incompatible, In this point, we can explore that though political issues and philosophical questions of seemingly disparate subject matter appear to us to be unrelated (such as "Is Man Good or Evil?" versus "Do we need government healthcare?") they may nevertheless be related through a chain of implication from a more abstract principle. For example, a deep philosophical question about the nature of man can influence, directly and indirectly, a person's conception of what the role of government is. A question of man's nature and capabilities can influence how a person conceives of their own personal responsibility and others. A position on the value of the individual versus the importance of society impacts the development of which individual rights are important (and what is their origin).
Using this principle allows us to analyze how certain belief systems are constructed from a hierarchy started with the abstract and proceding down by implication to the concrete. The consistency between the beliefs at the "leaves" of the tree then is related to the quality of logic applied at each chain of reasoning from the abstract to the concrete. Therefore it should not be surprising certain sets of beliefs are common; they have grown and develop from the same abstract roots. The "almost discrete nature" of sets of belief systems can then be explained that perhaps the large groups of people in particular schools of thought descend from the implications of different answers to the same abstract questions. The nature of the question and the number of possible answers determines the number of "schools of thought" that descend from the answers. Just which abstract questions might depend on the domain; in a scientific field, they may be an as-yet unsettled question or an aesthetic judgment (and yes! there are aesthetic judgments in science); in the philosophical field, it might be the nature of man, and whether god exists, and god's nature; in politics, it might be the role of government, or the origin of rights. Groups and subgroups of belief systems can then also be related to each other hierarchially through another, higher, abstraction. Could it be that all beliefs (even those specific ones within a sub-sub-group of science or philosophy) are ultimately related in a small number of essential abstraction questions?
This was an essential tenet of the axiomatization of mathematics that was undertaken in the late 19th and early twentieth centuries. The logic is formal, and rigid--but Goedel showed the fundemental limitations of that logic. But the question now can could be, is it possible to axiomatize belief--not to establish a single belief system that should win, but rather to map out the topology of how belief systems derive from answers to fundamental questions? That is an interesting proposition; but for now I will leave it an open question.
Point three can be summarized then as: "some belief combinations are just the implications of answers to important questions".
4. Tradition, Mimicry and Popular Fads.
What is funny about people is how much they can be like monkeys, birds, and all life on earth in extraordinarily deep ways. Studies of biology have shown in species after species, a tremendous capacity and natural tendency to mimic others. Mimicry is a primary component in learning language and culture--without the built-in capacity to mimic the movements and sounds of our parents in our first months of life, we would not be able to learn language in order to communicate or walk. This mimicry in human nature is a force that drives adolescent conformity and adoption of culture. It also drives the adoption of ideas, too. Thus, in our search to find what makes belief systems for large groups of people remarkably similar, the built-in capacity for mimicry has to be examined. Put simply, people believe many things because it is popular--fashionable--to do so. They may also believe things because they are traditional; an inter-generational belief that is self-perpetuating. The subtle pressure from the collective upon individuals has been demonstrated in numerous psychological experiments to be considerable. The pressure to conform to popular belief and culture, despite the contradictions that can arise from the extreme pressure toward acceptance, has been a source from political satire and amusement for centuries. Clearly the pressure can lead to remarkably uniform belief systems with nevertheless glaring inconsistencies.
This is not to denigrate mimicry, tradition, or popular fads; they are a transmission mechanism that can transmit good ideas and bad ideas. The important point is that mimicry plays an important role in how belief systems become less diverse and more uniform.
Point four can be summarized as: "some beliefs combinations perpetuate their own popularity through conformance".
5. The Political Battleground.
In the political sphere, especially in the American two-party system, it is often the case that political parties vie with each other over specific issues, particularly new issues that emerge in the progression of history such as social security in the depression of the 1930s, the civil rights movement in the 1960s, the abortion movement in the 1970s, and today, gay rights, government healthcare, Iraq, and the larger global War on Terror. In such situations the parties vie on particular issues in order to win voters to their side and effectively deny the other party intellectual "territory" in the same way a battle between two land armies would be fought fifty or one hundred years ago. In such a military conflight, control of tactical territories, such as the next hill, would occupy the primary short-term objectives and battles in the overall war between two powers.
Considering the political struggle of two parties vying for power in this light, we can see that it might occasionally be the case that parties will take one side of an issue first in order to deny the other party that ground, and therefore increase their political power. The side taken by the party may nevertheless be contradictory or instill internal friction with the other issues under their tent and of course will lead to internal disagreements and new factions within the party; since parties are large and amorphous, some individuals in the party may agree with the party position or absorb elite opinion; others might ignore the issue or reject the position.
In this way, the political battleground is not entirely separable from the point on tradition and mimicry, since all individuals are subject to the forces to conform or copy; however, the political battleground provides an important mechanism to analyze how large groups of people come to beliefs or opinions on a new issue that are contradictory to their previous beliefs--it may be simply politically advantageous to do so.
Point five can be summarized as "some belief combinations are the assets of political parties at war".
6. Perspective on Reality.
Nearly everyone except the most sophisticated intellectuals realizes that objective reality exists. Of course there is always the possibility that it doesn't really exist but that we are just incapable of directly dispelling its existence through our senses (i.e. all our senses deceive us). Nevertheless, all people share interaction with the same objective reality, and therefore come to certain beliefs as a result. Using this measure simply, we would expect that all people would come to the same conclusion and beliefs about the world and its workings, which is clearly not the case. However, people can experience different aspects of the same reality, even the same event, and therefore come to different conclusions. The different "sides of the same coin" can therefore inspire different belief systems, even complex ones. Thus the common experience of people leads them to accept beliefs similar to other people with the same experience, which may differ from other people with a different perspective on the same reality.
Point six can be summarized as: "some belief combinations are the result of perspective on reality".
These six reasons, Religion, Compatibility, Hierarchy, Mimicry, and Battle, and Perspective provide the basis for how large groups of people come to ideological conformance. My personal interest is in the Hierarchy point; I will try to explore this one in more detail some time in the future.
This strange phenomenon sends the scientist in me searching for the cause of this unlikelyhood. Contemplating the issue, I finally posed the question as follows:
What makes a particular set of opinions on a large number of issues significantly more common than most of the other possible sets of opinions?
There are a number of possible answers to this question that deserve some exploration. In the end, I believe the complexities of human nature will force us to concede that there probably is not a single answer to this question that is best; rather, a mix of a number of factors are probably at work that have various impacts upon different individuals and different cultures. Let's explore a few of these.
1. Religion.
First, religion has a tremendous effect on a person's psychological development. The starting point for religion, in my opinion, isn't an open question to be considered throughout one's life--but a flat statement about the universe, usually starting with "God exists" and proceeding to "God is like this" and therefore "The world is like this" and proceeding to "God wants you to behave like this or do this" and offering a number of sticks and carrots in development of a large code of ethics. It is often illustrated through themes woven into a historical record and the doings and failings of historical figures. Often a religion contains a number of hypothetical situations--parables--intended to illustrate principles for living.
In a way, religion, among other things, is a ready-made set of beliefs about the world and oneself that are to be accepted. Though the starting point is a statement about the universe, man, and God(s) if any, religions are not averse to giving rise to many questions both internally and in their application to the world we live in and an individual's path through life. The answers to these questions therefore give rise to the various factions of religions, and as these questions are discovered, religions become more and more fractured in a type of divergent evolution.
The interesting aspect to religion in our exploration of the origins of commonly held belief systems is that religion therefore serves as a blueprint for belief, and its implications in the development of belief systems to address such issues as politics and philosophy therefore lead to wide uniformities. Thus, one possible explanation for the remarkable uniformity of different camps of belief is the common blueprints of different religions.
Point one can be summarized as "some belief combinations arise from a common belief blueprint".
2. Compatibility of Ideas.
A statistical approach to investigating belief systems that assumes that all beliefs are interchangeable is absurd. This is because we must admit that certain combinations of beliefs are more compatible (for example the education/affirmative action dichotomy mentioned in the introduction) than others. In the same way that the nature of atoms lends them to bonding in certain compatible configurations (e.g. H20) and the incompatible configurations simply do not exist, the "compatible" combinations of beliefs then appear more frequently, leading to the phenomenon that some combinations of belief are extremely popular. Also, since people are not entirely logical, the "incompatible" combinations still do exist in various places, but with far less appeal.
What makes the beliefs "incompatible"? Perhaps their very nature, like atoms; they might simply not fit. Thus, point two can be summarized as "some belief combinations are more compatible by their nature".
3. Hierarchy of Implication and Influence.
In the previous point, we explored whether beliefs can be simply incompatible by their nature. Perhaps also, there is another mechanism by which beliefs can be incompatible, In this point, we can explore that though political issues and philosophical questions of seemingly disparate subject matter appear to us to be unrelated (such as "Is Man Good or Evil?" versus "Do we need government healthcare?") they may nevertheless be related through a chain of implication from a more abstract principle. For example, a deep philosophical question about the nature of man can influence, directly and indirectly, a person's conception of what the role of government is. A question of man's nature and capabilities can influence how a person conceives of their own personal responsibility and others. A position on the value of the individual versus the importance of society impacts the development of which individual rights are important (and what is their origin).
Using this principle allows us to analyze how certain belief systems are constructed from a hierarchy started with the abstract and proceding down by implication to the concrete. The consistency between the beliefs at the "leaves" of the tree then is related to the quality of logic applied at each chain of reasoning from the abstract to the concrete. Therefore it should not be surprising certain sets of beliefs are common; they have grown and develop from the same abstract roots. The "almost discrete nature" of sets of belief systems can then be explained that perhaps the large groups of people in particular schools of thought descend from the implications of different answers to the same abstract questions. The nature of the question and the number of possible answers determines the number of "schools of thought" that descend from the answers. Just which abstract questions might depend on the domain; in a scientific field, they may be an as-yet unsettled question or an aesthetic judgment (and yes! there are aesthetic judgments in science); in the philosophical field, it might be the nature of man, and whether god exists, and god's nature; in politics, it might be the role of government, or the origin of rights. Groups and subgroups of belief systems can then also be related to each other hierarchially through another, higher, abstraction. Could it be that all beliefs (even those specific ones within a sub-sub-group of science or philosophy) are ultimately related in a small number of essential abstraction questions?
This was an essential tenet of the axiomatization of mathematics that was undertaken in the late 19th and early twentieth centuries. The logic is formal, and rigid--but Goedel showed the fundemental limitations of that logic. But the question now can could be, is it possible to axiomatize belief--not to establish a single belief system that should win, but rather to map out the topology of how belief systems derive from answers to fundamental questions? That is an interesting proposition; but for now I will leave it an open question.
Point three can be summarized then as: "some belief combinations are just the implications of answers to important questions".
4. Tradition, Mimicry and Popular Fads.
What is funny about people is how much they can be like monkeys, birds, and all life on earth in extraordinarily deep ways. Studies of biology have shown in species after species, a tremendous capacity and natural tendency to mimic others. Mimicry is a primary component in learning language and culture--without the built-in capacity to mimic the movements and sounds of our parents in our first months of life, we would not be able to learn language in order to communicate or walk. This mimicry in human nature is a force that drives adolescent conformity and adoption of culture. It also drives the adoption of ideas, too. Thus, in our search to find what makes belief systems for large groups of people remarkably similar, the built-in capacity for mimicry has to be examined. Put simply, people believe many things because it is popular--fashionable--to do so. They may also believe things because they are traditional; an inter-generational belief that is self-perpetuating. The subtle pressure from the collective upon individuals has been demonstrated in numerous psychological experiments to be considerable. The pressure to conform to popular belief and culture, despite the contradictions that can arise from the extreme pressure toward acceptance, has been a source from political satire and amusement for centuries. Clearly the pressure can lead to remarkably uniform belief systems with nevertheless glaring inconsistencies.
This is not to denigrate mimicry, tradition, or popular fads; they are a transmission mechanism that can transmit good ideas and bad ideas. The important point is that mimicry plays an important role in how belief systems become less diverse and more uniform.
Point four can be summarized as: "some beliefs combinations perpetuate their own popularity through conformance".
5. The Political Battleground.
In the political sphere, especially in the American two-party system, it is often the case that political parties vie with each other over specific issues, particularly new issues that emerge in the progression of history such as social security in the depression of the 1930s, the civil rights movement in the 1960s, the abortion movement in the 1970s, and today, gay rights, government healthcare, Iraq, and the larger global War on Terror. In such situations the parties vie on particular issues in order to win voters to their side and effectively deny the other party intellectual "territory" in the same way a battle between two land armies would be fought fifty or one hundred years ago. In such a military conflight, control of tactical territories, such as the next hill, would occupy the primary short-term objectives and battles in the overall war between two powers.
Considering the political struggle of two parties vying for power in this light, we can see that it might occasionally be the case that parties will take one side of an issue first in order to deny the other party that ground, and therefore increase their political power. The side taken by the party may nevertheless be contradictory or instill internal friction with the other issues under their tent and of course will lead to internal disagreements and new factions within the party; since parties are large and amorphous, some individuals in the party may agree with the party position or absorb elite opinion; others might ignore the issue or reject the position.
In this way, the political battleground is not entirely separable from the point on tradition and mimicry, since all individuals are subject to the forces to conform or copy; however, the political battleground provides an important mechanism to analyze how large groups of people come to beliefs or opinions on a new issue that are contradictory to their previous beliefs--it may be simply politically advantageous to do so.
Point five can be summarized as "some belief combinations are the assets of political parties at war".
6. Perspective on Reality.
Nearly everyone except the most sophisticated intellectuals realizes that objective reality exists. Of course there is always the possibility that it doesn't really exist but that we are just incapable of directly dispelling its existence through our senses (i.e. all our senses deceive us). Nevertheless, all people share interaction with the same objective reality, and therefore come to certain beliefs as a result. Using this measure simply, we would expect that all people would come to the same conclusion and beliefs about the world and its workings, which is clearly not the case. However, people can experience different aspects of the same reality, even the same event, and therefore come to different conclusions. The different "sides of the same coin" can therefore inspire different belief systems, even complex ones. Thus the common experience of people leads them to accept beliefs similar to other people with the same experience, which may differ from other people with a different perspective on the same reality.
Point six can be summarized as: "some belief combinations are the result of perspective on reality".
These six reasons, Religion, Compatibility, Hierarchy, Mimicry, and Battle, and Perspective provide the basis for how large groups of people come to ideological conformance. My personal interest is in the Hierarchy point; I will try to explore this one in more detail some time in the future.
